Urban expansion towards volcanic hazards
Population growth around volcanoes exposes millions of people worldwide to the risks of volcanic activity. Current global assessments of volcanic exposure of urban areas primarily rely on distance from volcanoes and zones of highest population density. While effective for identifying global hotspots of high exposure, these methods lack the nuance needed for localised or regional analyses, such as including less densely populated suburban areas, or topographic effects to hazards. By examining spatio-temporal trends of urban expansion in relation to modelled volcanic hazard locations, this project aims to provide a more detailed understanding of urban sprawl and its interaction with volcanic hazards on different scales. The findings will help identify key areas where land-use planning and mitigation efforts can be most effectively targeted.
The objective of this project is to identify key areas of high urban expansion and high volcanic hazard. It’s a useful project for those interested in exposure to natural hazards, volcanoes, urban planning, or disaster risk. Depending on the interests, students can develop skills in geospatial analysis, remote sensing, and/or hazard modelling.
- Chester, D.K., Degg, M., Duncan, A.M. and Guest, J.E., 2000. The increasing exposure of cities to the effects of volcanic eruptions: a global survey. Global Environmental Change Part B: Environmental Hazards, 2(3), pp.89-103. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.3763/ehaz.2000.0214
- Biass, S., Jenkins, S.F., Hayes, J.L., Williams, G.T., Meredith, E.S., Tennant, E., Yang, Q., Lerner, G.A., Burgos, V., Syarifuddin, M. and Verolino, A., 2023. How well do concentric radii approximate population exposure to volcanic hazards?. Bulletin of volcanology, 86(1), p.3. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00445-023-01686-5
- Jenkins, S.F., Biass, S., Williams, G.T., Hayes, J.L., Tennant, E., Yang, Q., Burgos, V., Meredith, E.S., Lerner, G.A., Syarifuddin, M. and Verolino, A., 2022. Evaluating and ranking Southeast Asia's exposure to explosive volcanic hazards. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 22(4), pp.1233-1265. https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/22/1233/2022/